Friday, January 4, 2008

Obama! Obama! OBAMA !!

Record turnout. Can we say it again RECORD TURNOUT !! And the college students DID turnout in droves for their candidate, just as we predicted here yesterday morning.

Hillary finished third. Again, just as we saw it.

But boy were we wrong on the Republican race. Mike Huckabee trounced Mitt Romney.

Well enough of the recap.

As if it wasn't a huge enough night for him already, Obama then stepped to the podium and delivered the speech of his career. It had the feel of history-in-the-making. Many Americans were getting their first true impression of him, and he did not waste the moment.

John Edwards was rewarded for all his hard work. But it is hard to see where he goes from here. The money will be flowing to Obama, and to Clinton (by folks who want to stop Obama). He will continue to make the strong showing here or there. We think he stays in, hoping to become a strong second choice, that might conceivably be parlayed into vice-presidential consideration. But Obama will not choose him. Hillary might.

Which brings us to the female Senator from New York. Uh oh. This one had to hurt. Her message of experience and ready-from-day-one to be President was embraced by less than a third of the folks voting in the Democratic caucuses last night. On a night of record Democratic turnout, when 56% of the folks in the Iowa PreProll indicated they were FIRST-TIME Caucus goers, her message wasn't selling well against Obama's and Edwards" message of CHANGE. This has major ramifications for her candidacy. If Obama energizes Democrats (and Independents) in New Hampshire and South Carolina this way - it is over.

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